Morning Note
Morning Note — 2026-03-10 (built 14:03 UTC), 263 posts today across 10 subreddits.
Regime: mixed — led by interest_rate_cut, while earnings_growth continues to cool.
What Changed Since Yesterday
- geopolitical_risk down: -0.06 DoD (-10%), now at 7th percentile; breadth 2 subs.
- recession down: -0.02 DoD (-6%), now at 7th percentile; breadth 2 subs.
- banking_crisis down: -0.01 DoD (-3%), now at 7th percentile; breadth 2 subs.
What Changed Since Last Week
- geopolitical_risk: -14.23 WoW (-96%); trend accelerating over last 3 days.
- earnings_growth: -4.21 WoW (-78%); trend accelerating over last 3 days.
- inflation: -3.82 WoW (-99%); trend accelerating over last 3 days.
Today’s Leaders
Top narratives by attention (30d percentile): 1) interest_rate_cut (p13) 2) fed_pivot (p13) 3) energy_transition (p13) 4) earnings_growth (p7) 5) geopolitical_risk (p7)
Emotion & Positioning Read
- Sentiment: fear elevated (z=+3.83), skepticism elevated (z=+3.77).
- Fear is most concentrated in interest_rate_hike (avg fear 0.80).
- Narrative-weighted fear (top 3): energy_transition (0.70).
Novelty / New Information
- Novelty: elevated (JS=0.068 vs 7d baseline 0.039).
- Narratives driving novelty: earnings_growth (+14.2%), geopolitical_risk (-7.9%).
Watchlist
- Watch interest_rate_cut: if it remains above p13 for 3 days → bond longs, rate-sensitive sectors.
- Watch recession / banking_crisis: if WoW continues rising + banking_crisis fear > 0.75 → raise quality bias, consider duration hedge.
Data Quality Notes
- Moves from near-zero base can inflate % change; we prioritize absolute change and percentile ranks.
- Coverage is Reddit-based; interpret as retail/discussion attention, not institutional positioning.
Details (exact values)
Regime components: fear_z=+3.83, regime_score=+0.89
| Narrative | Trend | Att. Today | DoD | WoW | Pctile 30d | Breadth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| earnings_growth | 1.2112 | -0.0017 | -4.2104 | 7th | 3 | |
| geopolitical_risk | 0.5331 | -0.0602 | -14.2275 | 7th | 2 | |
| AI_boom | 0.4400 | -0.0033 | -3.3665 | 7th | 2 | |
| banking_crisis | 0.4362 | -0.0144 | -0.7562 | 7th | 2 | |
| recession | 0.3506 | -0.0233 | -2.9189 | 7th | 2 | |
| earnings_miss | 0.2230 | -0.0056 | -3.2126 | 7th | 2 | |
| deglobalisation | 0.2018 | -0.0082 | -1.6462 | 7th | 2 | |
| interest_rate_hike | 0.1795 | -0.0086 | -1.1440 | 7th | 2 | |
| dollar_strength | 0.0771 | -0.0110 | -0.9322 | 7th | 1 | |
| crypto_adoption | 0.0667 | -0.0133 | -2.6388 | 7th | 1 |
Database Overview
| Table | Rows | Columns |
|---|---|---|
emotion_scores | 7,143 | id, post_id, emotion, score |
fetch_runs | 55 | id, started_at |
narrative_gap_analyses | 21 | id, analyzed_at, max_age_days, max_score, post_count, common_narrative, narrative_certainty, common_emotion, raw_response |
narrative_scores | 4,577 | id, post_id, narrative, score |
post_rankings | 13,750 | id, run_id, post_id, subreddit, rank |
posts | 3,100 | id, subreddit, title, selftext, url, reddit_score, num_comments, created_utc, retrieved_at, analyzed_at |
sqlite_sequence | 5 | name, seq |
Posts
3,100 total posts | 2,384 analyzed
By Subreddit
| Subreddit | Posts |
|---|---|
| r/ValueInvesting | 511 |
| r/cryptocurrency | 447 |
| r/wallstreetbets | 434 |
| r/investing | 412 |
| r/economics | 376 |
| r/stocks | 355 |
| r/StockMarket | 242 |
| r/options | 203 |
| r/finance | 81 |
| r/SecurityAnalysis | 39 |
Narrative Scores
Fastest-Growing Narratives (Attention Movers)
Ranked by weighted DoD (40%) + WoW (60%) absolute attention change. Most recent day: 2026-03-10
| Narrative | Attention Today | Day-over-Day | Week-over-Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| soft_landing | 0.0375 | -0.0025 (-6.2%) | -0.0320 (-46.1%) |
| dollar_weakness | 0.0000 | +0.0000 (+0.0%) | -0.1114 (-100.0%) |
| fed_pivot | 0.0286 | +0.0000 (+0.0%) | -0.2793 (-90.7%) |
| housing_bubble | 0.0000 | +0.0000 (+0.0%) | -0.4425 (-100.0%) |
| sector_rotation | 0.0000 | +0.0000 (+0.0%) | -0.4800 (-100.0%) |
| interest_rate_cut | 0.0619 | +0.0000 (+0.0%) | -0.5003 (-89.0%) |
| banking_crisis | 0.4362 | -0.0144 (-3.2%) | -0.7562 (-63.4%) |
| stagflation | 0.0585 | -0.0045 (-7.2%) | -0.9011 (-93.9%) |
| dollar_strength | 0.0771 | -0.0110 (-12.4%) | -0.9322 (-92.4%) |
| interest_rate_hike | 0.1795 | -0.0086 (-4.6%) | -1.1440 (-86.4%) |
Emotion Scores
Emotion per Narrative
Fetch Runs
55 total fetch runs | Last run: 2026-03-10 11:00 UTC
Additional Tables
narrative_gap_analyses 21 rows
| id | analyzed_at | max_age_days | max_score | post_count | common_narrative | narrative_certainty | common_emotion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1772708617.266572 | 5 | 0.5 | 381 | Retail investors grappling with market volatility, seeking strategies for long-term investing while navigating short-term fears and information overload. | 0.85 | anxiety |
| 2 | 1772730380.064614 | 5 | 0.5 | 377 | Retail investors seeking undervalued opportunities and strategic edges in a volatile market, with a focus on individual stock analysis, options strategies, and portfolio optimization. | 0.75 | anxious |
| 3 | 1772751792.9824095 | 5 | 0.5 | 383 | Retail traders and investors navigating high volatility, complex options strategies, and a search for undervalued opportunities in a market perceived as overpriced or irrational, while grappling with emotional discipline and information overload. | 0.75 | anxious |
| 4 | 1772773399.0125508 | 5 | 0.5 | 387 | Retail investors seeking actionable strategies and tools for stock picking, options trading, and portfolio management in a volatile market, while grappling with information overload and emotional discipline. | 0.85 | anxious |
| 5 | 1772794990.7780485 | 5 | 0.5 | 390 | Retail investors seeking self-directed, systematic, and tool-assisted approaches to navigate complex markets, often focusing on undervalued opportunities, options strategies, and personal portfolio construction amid volatility. | 0.85 | anxious determination |
sqlite_sequence 5 rows
| name | seq |
|---|---|
| emotion_scores | 7143 |
| narrative_scores | 4577 |
| fetch_runs | 55 |
| post_rankings | 13750 |
| narrative_gap_analyses | 21 |