Morning Note
Morning Note — 2026-03-24 (built 11:38 UTC), 218 posts today across 10 subreddits.
Regime: risk-off — led by banking_crisis, while technology_paradigm_shift continues to cool.
Current Top Market Narratives
1. banking_crisis ⚠️ hope z=-4.10 ⚠️ optimism z=-1.89
- confidence z=+0.48
- euphoria z=-0.82
- fear z=+0.87
- frustration z=+1.53
- greed z=+0.88
- hope z=-4.10
- optimism z=-1.89
- panic z=+0.13
- skepticism z=+0.74
- uncertainty z=-0.23
2. dollar_strength ⚠️ skepticism z=+1.94 ⚠️ uncertainty z=+1.79
- confidence z=-1.48
- fear z=+0.78
- frustration z=-0.64
- greed z=+0.41
- hope z=-1.12
- optimism z=+0.96
- panic z=+1.46
- skepticism z=+1.94
- uncertainty z=+1.79
3. energy_insecurity ⚠️ greed z=-1.58
- confidence z=+0.06
- euphoria z=-0.40
- fear z=-0.55
- frustration z=+0.08
- greed z=-1.58
- hope z=+1.17
- optimism z=+1.20
- panic z=+0.59
- skepticism z=+0.95
- uncertainty z=-0.52
4. commodities_supercycle
- confidence z=-1.36
- euphoria z=+0.75
- fear z=+0.43
- frustration z=+1.21
- greed z=-0.44
- hope z=+0.60
- optimism z=+0.78
- panic z=+0.63
- skepticism z=+0.98
- uncertainty z=-1.27
5. fed_pivot ⚠️ hope z=+1.54
- confidence z=+0.10
- euphoria z=+1.10
- fear z=+0.52
- frustration z=+1.29
- greed z=+0.31
- hope z=+1.54
- optimism z=-0.17
- panic z=+0.49
- skepticism z=-0.57
- uncertainty z=+1.17
What Changed Since Yesterday
geopolitical_risk down: -42%
-6.52 DoD change — now at 59th percentile; breadth 10 subreddits.
- confidence z=+0.11
- euphoria z=-1.13
- fear z=+0.10
- frustration z=+0.07
- greed z=-0.41
- hope z=+0.33
- optimism z=-0.29
- panic z=+0.35
- skepticism z=+1.15
- uncertainty z=+0.11
energy_insecurity down: -48%
-4.80 DoD change — now at 64th percentile; breadth 8 subreddits.
- confidence z=+0.70
- euphoria z=-0.88
- fear z=-0.41
- frustration z=-0.48
- greed z=-1.90
- hope z=+0.18
- optimism z=-0.14
- panic z=+0.04
- skepticism z=+1.09
- uncertainty z=+0.92
AI_boom down: -68%
-3.29 DoD change — now at 33th percentile; breadth 9 subreddits.
- confidence z=+0.31
- euphoria z=+2.73
- fear z=+0.20
- frustration z=-0.37
- greed z=-0.02
- hope z=+0.36
- optimism z=+0.46
- panic z=+0.00
- skepticism z=-0.16
- uncertainty z=+0.07
What Changed Since Last Week
geopolitical_risk: +40% WoW — trend decelerating
+2.62 absolute WoW change over the last 3 days.
- confidence z=+1.07
- euphoria z=+0.04
- fear z=+0.61
- frustration z=+1.67
- greed z=+1.94
- hope z=+0.75
- optimism z=+0.60
- panic z=+2.62
- skepticism z=+2.15
- uncertainty z=+0.71
technology_paradigm_shift: -45% WoW — trend decelerating
-1.77 absolute WoW change over the last 3 days.
- confidence z=-0.00
- euphoria z=-2.23
- fear z=+1.22
- frustration z=+1.23
- greed z=-0.87
- hope z=-0.23
- optimism z=-0.44
- panic z=+2.97
- skepticism z=+1.26
- uncertainty z=+2.78
AI_boom: -50% WoW — trend decelerating
-1.55 absolute WoW change over the last 3 days.
- confidence z=+0.61
- euphoria z=+2.11
- fear z=-0.99
- frustration z=-2.12
- greed z=-1.64
- hope z=-0.47
- optimism z=+0.36
- panic z=+1.20
- skepticism z=-1.04
- uncertainty z=+1.08
Emotion & Positioning Read
Sentiment: fear elevated, skepticism neutral
Fear z-score: +1.34 — Skepticism z-score: +0.92.
Fear most concentrated in interest_rate_insecurity
Average fear score for interest_rate_insecurity: 0.80.
Narrative-weighted fear across top 3 narratives
banking_crisis (0.62), energy_insecurity (0.69).
Novelty / New Information
Novelty: normal
Jensen–Shannon divergence: 0.017 vs 7-day baseline 0.041.
Watchlist
Watch banking_crisis: if it remains above p85 for 3 days and fear stays elevated
Action: financials underweight, flight to quality.
Watch geopolitical_risk: WoW rising (+40%)
If trend continues → defensive tilt / energy hedge bias.
Watch recession / banking_crisis: elevated attention detected
If WoW continues rising and banking_crisis fear > 0.75 → raise quality bias, consider duration hedge.
Data Quality Notes
Percentage changes may be amplified from near-zero baselines
Moves from near-zero base can inflate % change; we prioritize absolute change and percentile ranks.
Data source: Reddit (retail/discussion attention)
Coverage is Reddit-based; interpret as retail/discussion attention, not institutional positioning.
Details (exact values)
Regime components: fear_z=+1.34, regime_score=+1.34
| Narrative | Trend | Att. Today | DoD | WoW | Pctile 30d | Breadth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| geopolitical_risk | 9.1619 | -6.5194 | +2.6168 | 59th | 10 | |
| energy_insecurity | 5.2487 | -4.7993 | +1.1758 | 64th | 8 | |
| commodities_supercycle | 3.3096 | -2.7613 | +0.7056 | 64th | 8 | |
| crypto_adoption | 2.6839 | -1.8703 | -0.5392 | 44th | 6 | |
| technology_paradigm_shift | 2.1974 | -2.1513 | -1.7650 | 36th | 10 | |
| sector_rotation | 2.1703 | -1.9018 | +0.6156 | 56th | 8 | |
| recession | 2.0272 | -1.7612 | +0.0397 | 37th | 10 | |
| inflation | 1.9107 | -1.6701 | -0.8898 | 41th | 9 | |
| banking_crisis | 1.5897 | -0.1261 | +0.0768 | 85th | 9 | |
| AI_boom | 1.5445 | -3.2911 | -1.5466 | 33th | 9 |
Database Overview
| Table | Rows | Columns |
|---|---|---|
emotion_scores | 11,149 | id, post_id, emotion, score |
fetch_runs | 100 | id, started_at |
narrative_gap_analyses | 44 | id, analyzed_at, max_age_days, max_score, post_count, common_narrative, narrative_certainty, common_emotion, raw_response |
narrative_scores | 7,561 | id, post_id, narrative, score |
post_rankings | 23,860 | id, run_id, post_id, subreddit, rank |
posts | 5,142 | id, subreddit, title, selftext, url, reddit_score, num_comments, created_utc, retrieved_at, analyzed_at |
sqlite_sequence | 5 | name, seq |
Posts
5,142 total posts | 3,682 analyzed
By Subreddit
| Subreddit | Posts |
|---|---|
| r/ValueInvesting | 810 |
| r/cryptocurrency | 742 |
| r/wallstreetbets | 696 |
| r/investing | 663 |
| r/economics | 611 |
| r/stocks | 579 |
| r/StockMarket | 409 |
| r/options | 351 |
| r/finance | 107 |
| r/TrueReddit | 69 |
| r/SecurityAnalysis | 69 |
| r/PoliticalDiscussion | 36 |
Narrative Scores
Fastest-Growing Narratives (Attention Movers)
Ranked by weighted DoD (40%) + WoW (60%) absolute attention change. Most recent day: 2026-03-24
| Narrative | Attention Today | Day-over-Day | Week-over-Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| dollar_strength | 0.9734 | -0.2887 (-22.9%) | +0.5003 (+105.8%) |
| fed_pivot | 0.4495 | -0.2403 (-34.8%) | +0.2953 (+191.4%) |
| interest_rate_hike | 0.0353 | -0.0022 (-5.9%) | +0.0020 (+5.9%) |
| earnings_miss | 0.0294 | -0.0018 (-5.9%) | +0.0016 (+5.9%) |
| crypto_regulation | 0.0000 | +0.0000 (+0.0%) | +0.0000 (+0.0%) |
| interest_rate_cut | 0.0000 | +0.0000 (+0.0%) | +0.0000 (+0.0%) |
| dollar_weakness | 0.0000 | +0.0000 (+0.0%) | +0.0000 (+0.0%) |
| banking_crisis | 1.5897 | -0.1261 (-7.3%) | +0.0768 (+5.1%) |
| demographic_shift | 0.2100 | -0.0852 (-28.9%) | -0.0846 (-28.7%) |
| housing_bubble | 0.0167 | -0.1410 (-89.4%) | -0.1517 (-90.1%) |
Emotion Scores
Emotion per Narrative
Fetch Runs
100 total fetch runs | Last run: 2026-03-24 11:00 UTC
Additional Tables
narrative_gap_analyses 44 rows
| id | analyzed_at | max_age_days | max_score | post_count | common_narrative | narrative_certainty | common_emotion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1772708617.266572 | 5 | 0.5 | 381 | Retail investors grappling with market volatility, seeking strategies for long-term investing while navigating short-term fears and information overload. | 0.85 | anxiety |
| 2 | 1772730380.064614 | 5 | 0.5 | 377 | Retail investors seeking undervalued opportunities and strategic edges in a volatile market, with a focus on individual stock analysis, options strategies, and portfolio optimization. | 0.75 | anxious |
| 3 | 1772751792.9824095 | 5 | 0.5 | 383 | Retail traders and investors navigating high volatility, complex options strategies, and a search for undervalued opportunities in a market perceived as overpriced or irrational, while grappling with emotional discipline and information overload. | 0.75 | anxious |
| 4 | 1772773399.0125508 | 5 | 0.5 | 387 | Retail investors seeking actionable strategies and tools for stock picking, options trading, and portfolio management in a volatile market, while grappling with information overload and emotional discipline. | 0.85 | anxious |
| 5 | 1772794990.7780485 | 5 | 0.5 | 390 | Retail investors seeking self-directed, systematic, and tool-assisted approaches to navigate complex markets, often focusing on undervalued opportunities, options strategies, and personal portfolio construction amid volatility. | 0.85 | anxious determination |
sqlite_sequence 5 rows
| name | seq |
|---|---|
| emotion_scores | 11149 |
| narrative_scores | 7561 |
| fetch_runs | 100 |
| post_rankings | 23860 |
| narrative_gap_analyses | 44 |