📈 Narrative Investing – Latest Report

Built: 2026-03-25 11:15 UTC  |  DB: narrative_investing.db

Morning Note

Morning Note — 2026-03-25 (built 11:15 UTC), 221 posts today across 10 subreddits.

Regime: mixed — led by housing_bubble, while technology_paradigm_shift continues to cool.

Current Top Market Narratives

1. housing_bubble   confidence 
  •  confidence z=+2.09
  •  fear z=+0.69
  •  frustration z=+1.00
  •  hope z=-0.96
  •  optimism z=+0.43
  •  panic z=+0.67
  •  skepticism z=+1.15
  •  uncertainty z=+0.83
2. banking_crisis   confidence    optimism 
  •  confidence z=-1.77
  •  euphoria z=-0.82
  •  fear z=-0.31
  •  frustration z=-1.59
  •  greed z=+0.88
  •  hope z=-1.65
  •  optimism z=-1.74
  •  panic z=-0.07
  •  skepticism z=+1.37
  •  uncertainty z=+0.22
3. crypto_adoption   fear    hope 
  •  confidence z=+0.45
  •  euphoria z=-1.35
  •  fear z=-2.30
  •  frustration z=+1.37
  •  greed z=-1.53
  •  hope z=-1.88
  •  optimism z=-0.26
  •  panic z=-1.23
  •  skepticism z=-0.85
  •  uncertainty z=-1.30
4. fed_pivot   uncertainty 
  •  confidence z=+0.51
  •  euphoria z=+0.41
  •  fear z=+1.04
  •  frustration z=+1.48
  •  greed z=+0.77
  •  hope z=-0.65
  •  optimism z=-0.16
  •  panic z=+1.14
  •  skepticism z=+0.01
  •  uncertainty z=+1.62
5. dollar_strength   skepticism 
  •  confidence z=-1.10
  •  fear z=-0.48
  •  frustration z=-0.13
  •  greed z=+0.41
  •  hope z=-1.12
  •  optimism z=+0.96
  •  panic z=+1.04
  •  skepticism z=+2.14
  •  uncertainty z=+0.75

What Changed Since Yesterday

geopolitical_risk -52%
-6.88 DoD change — now at 46th percentile; breadth 10 subreddits.
  •  confidence z=+0.27
  •  euphoria z=+0.60
  •  fear z=-1.00
  •  frustration z=-1.49
  •  greed z=-0.28
  •  hope z=-0.96
  •  optimism z=+0.67
  •  panic z=-0.39
  •  skepticism z=-0.12
  •  uncertainty z=-0.80
energy_insecurity -58%
-4.68 DoD change — now at 47th percentile; breadth 8 subreddits.
  •  confidence z=+0.82
  •  euphoria z=+0.55
  •  fear z=-0.55
  •  frustration z=-0.54
  •  greed z=-0.01
  •  hope z=-2.08
  •  optimism z=+1.02
  •  panic z=+0.35
  •  skepticism z=-0.39
  •  uncertainty z=-0.87
commodities_supercycle -56%
-2.87 DoD change — now at 47th percentile; breadth 9 subreddits.
  •  confidence z=+2.16
  •  euphoria z=+0.00
  •  fear z=-0.77
  •  frustration z=-0.97
  •  greed z=+0.24
  •  hope z=-0.79
  •  optimism z=+1.48
  •  panic z=+0.32
  •  skepticism z=+0.09
  •  uncertainty z=-0.60

What Changed Since Last Week

inflation: -85% WoW — trend decelerating
-5.84 absolute WoW change over the last 3 days.
  •  confidence z=+0.92
  •  euphoria z=+1.55
  •  fear z=-0.22
  •  frustration z=-0.39
  •  greed z=+0.81
  •  hope z=+0.31
  •  optimism z=+1.79
  •  panic z=+0.21
  •  skepticism z=+1.14
  •  uncertainty z=+0.76
interest_rate_insecurity: -83% WoW — trend accelerating
-5.67 absolute WoW change over the last 3 days.
  •  confidence z=-1.33
  •  euphoria z=-0.37
  •  fear z=+0.14
  •  frustration z=-1.73
  •  greed z=+0.36
  •  hope z=-0.64
  •  optimism z=+1.06
  •  panic z=-0.28
  •  skepticism z=-0.57
  •  uncertainty z=+0.88
fed_pivot: -91% WoW — trend accelerating
-3.37 absolute WoW change over the last 3 days.
  •  confidence z=-0.30
  •  euphoria z=-0.72
  •  fear z=+0.46
  •  frustration z=+1.75
  •  greed z=-0.57
  •  hope z=+0.64
  •  optimism z=+0.71
  •  panic z=+1.44
  •  skepticism z=+1.58
  •  uncertainty z=+1.26

Emotion & Positioning Read

Sentiment: fear subdued, skepticism neutral
Fear z-score: -0.72 — Skepticism z-score: +0.09.
Fear most concentrated in stagflation
Average fear score for stagflation: 0.80.
Narrative-weighted fear across top 3 narratives
housing_bubble (0.50), banking_crisis (0.67), crypto_adoption (0.40).

Novelty / New Information

Novelty: normal
Jensen–Shannon divergence: 0.014 vs 7-day baseline 0.031.

Watchlist

Watch housing_bubble: if it remains above p65 for 3 days
Action: real estate underweight.
Watch recession / banking_crisis: elevated attention detected
If WoW continues rising and banking_crisis fear > 0.75 → raise quality bias, consider duration hedge.

Data Quality Notes

Percentage changes may be amplified from near-zero baselines
Moves from near-zero base can inflate % change; we prioritize absolute change and percentile ranks.
Data source: Reddit (retail/discussion attention)
Coverage is Reddit-based; interpret as retail/discussion attention, not institutional positioning.
Details (exact values)

Regime components: fear_z=-0.72, regime_score=-0.55

NarrativeTrendAtt. TodayDoDWoWPctile 30dBreadth
geopolitical_risk6.3628-6.8831-1.805946th10
technology_paradigm_shift3.6670-0.3608-1.976233th10
AI_boom3.4671+0.1005-1.219643th8
energy_insecurity3.4563-4.6840-1.523347th8
crypto_adoption2.7205-1.7674-1.216954th5
commodities_supercycle2.2147-2.8667-0.838747th9
sector_rotation2.1465-1.0906-0.866853th8
recession1.9087-1.1822-2.496036th10
banking_crisis1.4199-0.6274-0.368064th8
defense_rearmament1.2781-0.7332-0.074836th7

Database Overview

TableRowsColumns
emotion_scores11,745id, post_id, emotion, score
fetch_runs104id, started_at
narrative_gap_analyses48id, analyzed_at, max_age_days, max_score, post_count, common_narrative, narrative_certainty, common_emotion, raw_response
narrative_scores7,942id, post_id, narrative, score
post_rankings24,820id, run_id, post_id, subreddit, rank
posts5,339id, subreddit, title, selftext, url, reddit_score, num_comments, created_utc, retrieved_at, analyzed_at
sqlite_sequence5name, seq

Posts

5,339 total posts  |  3,879 analyzed

By Subreddit

SubredditPosts
r/ValueInvesting841
r/cryptocurrency768
r/wallstreetbets721
r/investing683
r/economics632
r/stocks605
r/StockMarket423
r/options360
r/finance110
r/TrueReddit85
r/SecurityAnalysis71
r/PoliticalDiscussion40

Narrative Scores

Fastest-Growing Narratives (Attention Movers)

Ranked by weighted DoD (40%) + WoW (60%) absolute attention change. Most recent day: 2026-03-25

NarrativeAttention TodayDay-over-DayWeek-over-Week
crypto_regulation0.0000+0.0000 (+0.0%)+0.0000 (+0.0%)
interest_rate_cut0.0000+0.0000 (+0.0%)+0.0000 (+0.0%)
dollar_weakness0.0000+0.0000 (+0.0%)+0.0000 (+0.0%)
earnings_miss0.0278-0.0016 (-5.6%)-0.0035 (-11.1%)
interest_rate_hike0.0333-0.0020 (-5.6%)-0.0042 (-11.1%)
housing_bubble0.2500+0.0458 (+22.4%)-0.0936 (-27.2%)
demographic_shift0.2301-0.1837 (-44.4%)-0.3899 (-62.9%)
defense_rearmament1.2781-0.7332 (-36.5%)-0.0748 (-5.5%)
deglobalisation0.1750+0.0998 (+132.7%)-0.6640 (-79.1%)
dollar_strength0.3333-0.6845 (-67.3%)-0.3285 (-49.6%)

Emotion Scores

Emotion per Narrative

Fetch Runs

104 total fetch runs  | Last run: 2026-03-25 11:00 UTC

Additional Tables

narrative_gap_analyses 48 rows

idanalyzed_atmax_age_daysmax_scorepost_countcommon_narrativenarrative_certaintycommon_emotion
11772708617.26657250.5381Retail investors grappling with market volatility, seeking strategies for long-term investing while navigating short-term fears and information overload.0.85anxiety
21772730380.06461450.5377Retail investors seeking undervalued opportunities and strategic edges in a volatile market, with a focus on individual stock analysis, options strategies, and portfolio optimization.0.75anxious
31772751792.982409550.5383Retail traders and investors navigating high volatility, complex options strategies, and a search for undervalued opportunities in a market perceived as overpriced or irrational, while grappling with emotional discipline and information overload.0.75anxious
41772773399.012550850.5387Retail investors seeking actionable strategies and tools for stock picking, options trading, and portfolio management in a volatile market, while grappling with information overload and emotional discipline.0.85anxious
51772794990.778048550.5390Retail investors seeking self-directed, systematic, and tool-assisted approaches to navigate complex markets, often focusing on undervalued opportunities, options strategies, and personal portfolio construction amid volatility.0.85anxious determination

sqlite_sequence 5 rows

nameseq
emotion_scores11745
narrative_scores7942
fetch_runs104
post_rankings24820
narrative_gap_analyses48