πŸ“ˆ Narrative Investing – Latest Report

Built: 2026-03-20 05:15 UTC  |  DB: narrative_investing.db

Morning Note

Morning Note β€” 2026-03-20 (built 05:15 UTC), 189 posts today across 10 subreddits.

Regime: mixed β€” led by fed_pivot, while AI_boom continues to cool.

What Changed Since Yesterday

  • geopolitical_risk down: -4.43 DoD (-39%), now at 61th percentile; breadth 9 subs.
  • energy_insecurity down: -3.77 DoD (-42%), now at 90th percentile; breadth 9 subs.
  • inflation down: -3.35 DoD (-54%), now at 61th percentile; breadth 10 subs.

What Changed Since Last Week

  • geopolitical_risk: +5.22 WoW (+316%); trend decelerating over last 3 days.
  • energy_insecurity: +4.17 WoW (+432%); trend decelerating over last 3 days.
  • commodities_supercycle: +2.58 WoW (+532%); trend decelerating over last 3 days.

Today’s Leaders

Top narratives by attention (30d percentile): 1) fed_pivot (p91)   2) energy_insecurity (p90)   3) commodities_supercycle (p90)   4) interest_rate_insecurity (p82)   5) stagflation (p78)

Emotion & Positioning Read

  • Sentiment: fear neutral (z=+0.29), skepticism elevated (z=+1.55).
  • Fear is most concentrated in inflation (avg fear 0.90).
  • Narrative-weighted fear (top 3): energy_insecurity (0.70), commodities_supercycle (0.60).

Novelty / New Information

  • Novelty: normal (JS=0.021 vs 7d baseline 0.071).

Watchlist

  • Watch fed_pivot: if it remains above p90 for 3 days β†’ duration longs, growth equity bias.
  • Watch geopolitical_risk: WoW rising (+316%); if trend continues β†’ defensive tilt / energy hedge bias.
  • Watch recession / banking_crisis: if WoW continues rising + banking_crisis fear > 0.75 β†’ raise quality bias, consider duration hedge.

Data Quality Notes

  • Moves from near-zero base can inflate % change; we prioritize absolute change and percentile ranks.
  • Coverage is Reddit-based; interpret as retail/discussion attention, not institutional positioning.
Details (exact values)

Regime components: fear_z=+0.29, regime_score=+0.93

NarrativeTrendAtt. TodayDoDWoWPctile 30dBreadth
geopolitical_risk6.8666-4.4299+5.216761th9
energy_insecurity5.1364-3.7654+4.171490th9
technology_paradigm_shift3.1119-1.2931+2.345257th10
commodities_supercycle3.0657-2.9673+2.580790th9
inflation2.8406-3.3538+2.270661th10
AI_boom2.7526-1.2754+2.130243th9
recession2.4465-2.6846+1.738052th10
interest_rate_insecurity2.0535-2.9396+1.709582th10
crypto_adoption1.9784-1.4979+1.933948th6
banking_crisis1.3746-0.6590+0.627074th7

Database Overview

TableRowsColumns
emotion_scores9,095id, post_id, emotion, score
fetch_runs83id, started_at
narrative_gap_analyses27id, analyzed_at, max_age_days, max_score, post_count, common_narrative, narrative_certainty, common_emotion, raw_response
narrative_scores6,054id, post_id, narrative, score
post_rankings19,780id, run_id, post_id, subreddit, rank
posts4,487id, subreddit, title, selftext, url, reddit_score, num_comments, created_utc, retrieved_at, analyzed_at
sqlite_sequence5name, seq

Posts

4,487 total posts  |  3,027 analyzed

By Subreddit

SubredditPosts
r/ValueInvesting718
r/cryptocurrency640
r/wallstreetbets615
r/investing580
r/economics540
r/stocks504
r/StockMarket366
r/options308
r/finance97
r/SecurityAnalysis61
r/TrueReddit34
r/PoliticalDiscussion24

Narrative Scores

Fastest-Growing Narratives (Attention Movers)

Ranked by weighted DoD (40%) + WoW (60%) absolute attention change. Most recent day: 2026-03-20

NarrativeAttention TodayDay-over-DayWeek-over-Week
geopolitical_risk6.8666-4.4299 (-39.2%)+5.2167 (+316.2%)
energy_insecurity5.1364-3.7654 (-42.3%)+4.1714 (+432.3%)
technology_paradigm_shift3.1119-1.2931 (-29.4%)+2.3452 (+305.9%)
AI_boom2.7526-1.2754 (-31.7%)+2.1302 (+342.2%)
crypto_adoption1.9784-1.4979 (-43.1%)+1.9339 (+4351.3%)
commodities_supercycle3.0657-2.9673 (-49.2%)+2.5807 (+532.1%)
deglobalisation0.3435+0.1440 (+72.2%)+0.2192 (+176.4%)
banking_crisis1.3746-0.6590 (-32.4%)+0.6270 (+83.9%)
dollar_strength0.3976-0.1419 (-26.3%)+0.2076 (+109.3%)
inflation2.8406-3.3538 (-54.1%)+2.2706 (+398.4%)

Emotion Scores

Emotion per Narrative

Fetch Runs

83 total fetch runs  | Last run: 2026-03-20 05:00 UTC

Additional Tables

narrative_gap_analyses 27 rows

idanalyzed_atmax_age_daysmax_scorepost_countcommon_narrativenarrative_certaintycommon_emotion
11772708617.26657250.5381Retail investors grappling with market volatility, seeking strategies for long-term investing while navigating short-term fears and information overload.0.85anxiety
21772730380.06461450.5377Retail investors seeking undervalued opportunities and strategic edges in a volatile market, with a focus on individual stock analysis, options strategies, and portfolio optimization.0.75anxious
31772751792.982409550.5383Retail traders and investors navigating high volatility, complex options strategies, and a search for undervalued opportunities in a market perceived as overpriced or irrational, while grappling with emotional discipline and information overload.0.75anxious
41772773399.012550850.5387Retail investors seeking actionable strategies and tools for stock picking, options trading, and portfolio management in a volatile market, while grappling with information overload and emotional discipline.0.85anxious
51772794990.778048550.5390Retail investors seeking self-directed, systematic, and tool-assisted approaches to navigate complex markets, often focusing on undervalued opportunities, options strategies, and personal portfolio construction amid volatility.0.85anxious determination

sqlite_sequence 5 rows

nameseq
emotion_scores9095
narrative_scores6054
fetch_runs83
post_rankings19780
narrative_gap_analyses27