πŸ“ˆ Narrative Investing – Latest Report

Built: 2026-03-18 17:15 UTC  |  DB: narrative_investing.db

Morning Note

Morning Note β€” 2026-03-18 (built 17:15 UTC), 269 posts today across 10 subreddits.

Regime: risk-on β€” led by banking_crisis, while AI_boom continues to cool.

What Changed Since Yesterday

  • geopolitical_risk up: +0.03 DoD (+15%), now at 10th percentile; breadth 1 subs.
  • recession up: +0.01 DoD (+13%), now at 10th percentile; breadth 1 subs.
  • deglobalisation up: +0.01 DoD (+12%), now at 10th percentile; breadth 1 subs.

What Changed Since Last Week

  • AI_boom: -0.39 WoW (-100%); trend accelerating over last 3 days.
  • geopolitical_risk: -0.33 WoW (-61%); trend accelerating over last 3 days.
  • earnings_miss: -0.19 WoW (-86%); trend accelerating over last 3 days.

Today’s Leaders

Top narratives by attention (30d percentile): 1) banking_crisis (p10)   2) geopolitical_risk (p10)   3) recession (p10)   4) deglobalisation (p10)   5) interest_rate_hike (p10)

Emotion & Positioning Read

  • Sentiment: fear neutral (z=+0.58), skepticism elevated (z=+1.50).
  • Fear is most concentrated in interest_rate_hike (avg fear 0.80).
  • Narrative-weighted fear (top 3): banking_crisis (0.80), geopolitical_risk (0.72), recession (0.60).

Novelty / New Information

  • Novelty: normal (JS=0.069 vs 7d baseline 0.065).

Watchlist

  • Watch banking_crisis: if it remains above p10 for 3 days and fear stays elevated β†’ financials underweight, flight to quality.
  • Watch recession / banking_crisis: if WoW continues rising + banking_crisis fear > 0.75 β†’ raise quality bias, consider duration hedge.

Data Quality Notes

  • Moves from near-zero base can inflate % change; we prioritize absolute change and percentile ranks.
  • Coverage is Reddit-based; interpret as retail/discussion attention, not institutional positioning.
Details (exact values)

Regime components: fear_z=+0.58, regime_score=-1.18

NarrativeTrendAtt. TodayDoDWoWPctile 30dBreadth
banking_crisis0.3467+0.0055-0.031110th2
geopolitical_risk0.2061+0.0264-0.327010th1
recession0.0834+0.0096-0.187710th1
deglobalisation0.0529+0.0056-0.148910th1
interest_rate_hike0.0375+0.0042-0.115410th1
crypto_adoption0.0333+0.0048-0.033310th1
earnings_miss0.0312+0.0035-0.191810th1
dollar_strength0.0308+0.0041-0.026410th1
stagflation0.0294+0.0031-0.029110th1
AI_boom0.0000+0.0000-0.39000th0

Database Overview

TableRowsColumns
emotion_scores7,143id, post_id, emotion, score
fetch_runs77id, started_at
narrative_gap_analyses24id, analyzed_at, max_age_days, max_score, post_count, common_narrative, narrative_certainty, common_emotion, raw_response
narrative_scores4,577id, post_id, narrative, score
post_rankings18,340id, run_id, post_id, subreddit, rank
posts4,214id, subreddit, title, selftext, url, reddit_score, num_comments, created_utc, retrieved_at, analyzed_at
sqlite_sequence5name, seq

Posts

4,214 total posts  |  2,384 analyzed

By Subreddit

SubredditPosts
r/ValueInvesting686
r/cryptocurrency605
r/wallstreetbets574
r/investing542
r/economics511
r/stocks472
r/StockMarket344
r/options286
r/finance93
r/SecurityAnalysis61
r/TrueReddit20
r/PoliticalDiscussion20

Narrative Scores

Fastest-Growing Narratives (Attention Movers)

Ranked by weighted DoD (40%) + WoW (60%) absolute attention change. Most recent day: 2026-03-18

NarrativeAttention TodayDay-over-DayWeek-over-Week
crypto_regulation0.0000+0.0000 (+0.0%)+0.0000 (+0.0%)
inflation0.0000+0.0000 (+0.0%)+0.0000 (+0.0%)
energy_transition0.0000+0.0000 (+0.0%)+0.0000 (+0.0%)
ex_usa_trade0.0000+0.0000 (+0.0%)+0.0000 (+0.0%)
housing_bubble0.0000+0.0000 (+0.0%)+0.0000 (+0.0%)
dollar_weakness0.0000+0.0000 (+0.0%)+0.0000 (+0.0%)
sector_rotation0.0000+0.0000 (+0.0%)+0.0000 (+0.0%)
dollar_strength0.0308+0.0041 (+15.4%)-0.0264 (-46.2%)
stagflation0.0294+0.0031 (+11.8%)-0.0291 (-49.7%)
banking_crisis0.3467+0.0055 (+1.6%)-0.0311 (-8.2%)

Emotion Scores

Emotion per Narrative

Fetch Runs

77 total fetch runs  | Last run: 2026-03-18 17:00 UTC

Additional Tables

narrative_gap_analyses 24 rows

idanalyzed_atmax_age_daysmax_scorepost_countcommon_narrativenarrative_certaintycommon_emotion
11772708617.26657250.5381Retail investors grappling with market volatility, seeking strategies for long-term investing while navigating short-term fears and information overload.0.85anxiety
21772730380.06461450.5377Retail investors seeking undervalued opportunities and strategic edges in a volatile market, with a focus on individual stock analysis, options strategies, and portfolio optimization.0.75anxious
31772751792.982409550.5383Retail traders and investors navigating high volatility, complex options strategies, and a search for undervalued opportunities in a market perceived as overpriced or irrational, while grappling with emotional discipline and information overload.0.75anxious
41772773399.012550850.5387Retail investors seeking actionable strategies and tools for stock picking, options trading, and portfolio management in a volatile market, while grappling with information overload and emotional discipline.0.85anxious
51772794990.778048550.5390Retail investors seeking self-directed, systematic, and tool-assisted approaches to navigate complex markets, often focusing on undervalued opportunities, options strategies, and personal portfolio construction amid volatility.0.85anxious determination

sqlite_sequence 5 rows

nameseq
emotion_scores7143
narrative_scores4577
fetch_runs77
post_rankings18340
narrative_gap_analyses24