Morning Note
Morning Note — 2026-03-23 (built 05:15 UTC), 188 posts today across 10 subreddits.
Regime: risk-off — led by energy_insecurity, while technology_paradigm_shift continues to cool.
What Changed Since Yesterday
- geopolitical_risk down: -3.74 DoD (-35%), now at 54th percentile; breadth 10 subs.
- energy_insecurity down: -2.28 DoD (-31%), now at 69th percentile; breadth 8 subs.
- AI_boom down: -2.11 DoD (-43%), now at 38th percentile; breadth 9 subs.
What Changed Since Last Week
- geopolitical_risk: +5.53 WoW (+410%); trend decelerating over last 3 days.
- ⚠️ skepticism falling fast (z=-2.81)
- ⚠️ panic rising fast (z=+2.48)
- energy_insecurity: +4.38 WoW (+559%); trend decelerating over last 3 days.
- ⚠️ fear falling fast (z=-2.49)
- ⚠️ skepticism falling fast (z=-1.80)
- AI_boom: +2.25 WoW (+433%); trend decelerating over last 3 days.
- ⚠️ euphoria falling fast (z=-2.71)
- ⚠️ hope falling fast (z=-2.00)
- ⚠️ optimism falling fast (z=-1.52)
Today’s Leaders
Top narratives by attention (30d percentile): 1) energy_insecurity (p69) 2) defense_rearmament (p67) 3) fed_pivot (p65) 4) sector_rotation (p60) 5) interest_rate_insecurity (p57)
Emotion & Positioning Read
- Sentiment: fear neutral (z=+0.74), skepticism subdued (z=-1.70).
- Fear is most concentrated in banking_crisis (avg fear 0.90).
- Narrative-weighted fear (top 3): energy_insecurity (0.77).
Novelty / New Information
- Novelty: normal (JS=0.012 vs 7d baseline 0.047).
Watchlist
- Watch energy_insecurity: if it remains above p69 for 3 days → review positioning.
- Watch geopolitical_risk: WoW rising (+410%); if trend continues → defensive tilt / energy hedge bias.
- Watch recession / banking_crisis: if WoW continues rising + banking_crisis fear > 0.75 → raise quality bias, consider duration hedge.
Data Quality Notes
- Moves from near-zero base can inflate % change; we prioritize absolute change and percentile ranks.
- Coverage is Reddit-based; interpret as retail/discussion attention, not institutional positioning.
Details (exact values)
Regime components: fear_z=+0.74, regime_score=+1.00
| Narrative | Trend | Att. Today | DoD | WoW | Pctile 30d | Breadth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| geopolitical_risk | 6.8745 | -3.7428 | +5.5263 | 54th | 10 | |
| energy_insecurity | 5.1626 | -2.2834 | +4.3793 | 69th | 8 | |
| AI_boom | 2.7735 | -2.1067 | +2.2535 | 38th | 9 | |
| technology_paradigm_shift | 2.5304 | -1.9193 | +1.9137 | 40th | 10 | |
| commodities_supercycle | 2.5039 | -1.6625 | +2.1729 | 54th | 7 | |
| sector_rotation | 2.4309 | -1.3641 | +2.1971 | 60th | 9 | |
| recession | 2.0785 | -0.9202 | +1.5713 | 42th | 9 | |
| crypto_adoption | 1.8365 | -1.4425 | +1.8001 | 42th | 6 | |
| inflation | 1.7771 | -1.5358 | +1.3814 | 38th | 9 | |
| defense_rearmament | 1.3440 | -0.5622 | +0.9340 | 67th | 7 |
Database Overview
| Table | Rows | Columns |
|---|---|---|
emotion_scores | 10,402 | id, post_id, emotion, score |
fetch_runs | 95 | id, started_at |
narrative_gap_analyses | 39 | id, analyzed_at, max_age_days, max_score, post_count, common_narrative, narrative_certainty, common_emotion, raw_response |
narrative_scores | 7,017 | id, post_id, narrative, score |
post_rankings | 22,660 | id, run_id, post_id, subreddit, rank |
posts | 4,907 | id, subreddit, title, selftext, url, reddit_score, num_comments, created_utc, retrieved_at, analyzed_at |
sqlite_sequence | 5 | name, seq |
Posts
4,907 total posts | 3,447 analyzed
By Subreddit
| Subreddit | Posts |
|---|---|
| r/ValueInvesting | 784 |
| r/cryptocurrency | 702 |
| r/wallstreetbets | 671 |
| r/investing | 632 |
| r/economics | 586 |
| r/stocks | 553 |
| r/StockMarket | 392 |
| r/options | 331 |
| r/finance | 99 |
| r/SecurityAnalysis | 67 |
| r/TrueReddit | 56 |
| r/PoliticalDiscussion | 34 |
Narrative Scores
Fastest-Growing Narratives (Attention Movers)
Ranked by weighted DoD (40%) + WoW (60%) absolute attention change. Most recent day: 2026-03-23
| Narrative | Attention Today | Day-over-Day | Week-over-Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| geopolitical_risk | 6.8745 | -3.7428 (-35.3%) | +5.5263 (+409.9%) |
| energy_insecurity | 5.1626 | -2.2834 (-30.7%) | +4.3793 (+559.1%) |
| sector_rotation | 2.4309 | -1.3641 (-35.9%) | +2.1971 (+939.7%) |
| commodities_supercycle | 2.5039 | -1.6625 (-39.9%) | +2.1729 (+656.6%) |
| recession | 2.0785 | -0.9202 (-30.7%) | +1.5713 (+309.8%) |
| AI_boom | 2.7735 | -2.1067 (-43.2%) | +2.2535 (+433.4%) |
| crypto_adoption | 1.8365 | -1.4425 (-44.0%) | +1.8001 (+4950.3%) |
| technology_paradigm_shift | 2.5304 | -1.9193 (-43.1%) | +1.9137 (+310.3%) |
| defense_rearmament | 1.3440 | -0.5622 (-29.5%) | +0.9340 (+227.8%) |
| interest_rate_insecurity | 1.2065 | -0.6635 (-35.5%) | +0.9599 (+389.1%) |
Emotion Scores
Emotion per Narrative
Fetch Runs
95 total fetch runs | Last run: 2026-03-23 05:00 UTC
Additional Tables
narrative_gap_analyses 39 rows
| id | analyzed_at | max_age_days | max_score | post_count | common_narrative | narrative_certainty | common_emotion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1772708617.266572 | 5 | 0.5 | 381 | Retail investors grappling with market volatility, seeking strategies for long-term investing while navigating short-term fears and information overload. | 0.85 | anxiety |
| 2 | 1772730380.064614 | 5 | 0.5 | 377 | Retail investors seeking undervalued opportunities and strategic edges in a volatile market, with a focus on individual stock analysis, options strategies, and portfolio optimization. | 0.75 | anxious |
| 3 | 1772751792.9824095 | 5 | 0.5 | 383 | Retail traders and investors navigating high volatility, complex options strategies, and a search for undervalued opportunities in a market perceived as overpriced or irrational, while grappling with emotional discipline and information overload. | 0.75 | anxious |
| 4 | 1772773399.0125508 | 5 | 0.5 | 387 | Retail investors seeking actionable strategies and tools for stock picking, options trading, and portfolio management in a volatile market, while grappling with information overload and emotional discipline. | 0.85 | anxious |
| 5 | 1772794990.7780485 | 5 | 0.5 | 390 | Retail investors seeking self-directed, systematic, and tool-assisted approaches to navigate complex markets, often focusing on undervalued opportunities, options strategies, and personal portfolio construction amid volatility. | 0.85 | anxious determination |
sqlite_sequence 5 rows
| name | seq |
|---|---|
| emotion_scores | 10402 |
| narrative_scores | 7017 |
| fetch_runs | 95 |
| post_rankings | 22660 |
| narrative_gap_analyses | 39 |