📈 Narrative Investing – Latest Report

Built: 2026-03-24 11:38 UTC  |  DB: narrative_investing.db

Morning Note

Morning Note — 2026-03-24 (built 11:38 UTC), 218 posts today across 10 subreddits.

Regime: risk-off — led by banking_crisis, while technology_paradigm_shift continues to cool.

Current Top Market Narratives

1. banking_crisis   ⚠️ hope z=-4.10   ⚠️ optimism z=-1.89
  •  confidence z=+0.48
  •  euphoria z=-0.82
  •  fear z=+0.87
  •  frustration z=+1.53
  •  greed z=+0.88
  •  hope z=-4.10
  •  optimism z=-1.89
  •  panic z=+0.13
  •  skepticism z=+0.74
  •  uncertainty z=-0.23
2. dollar_strength   ⚠️ skepticism z=+1.94   ⚠️ uncertainty z=+1.79
  •  confidence z=-1.48
  •  fear z=+0.78
  •  frustration z=-0.64
  •  greed z=+0.41
  •  hope z=-1.12
  •  optimism z=+0.96
  •  panic z=+1.46
  •  skepticism z=+1.94
  •  uncertainty z=+1.79
3. energy_insecurity   ⚠️ greed z=-1.58
  •  confidence z=+0.06
  •  euphoria z=-0.40
  •  fear z=-0.55
  •  frustration z=+0.08
  •  greed z=-1.58
  •  hope z=+1.17
  •  optimism z=+1.20
  •  panic z=+0.59
  •  skepticism z=+0.95
  •  uncertainty z=-0.52
4. commodities_supercycle 
  •  confidence z=-1.36
  •  euphoria z=+0.75
  •  fear z=+0.43
  •  frustration z=+1.21
  •  greed z=-0.44
  •  hope z=+0.60
  •  optimism z=+0.78
  •  panic z=+0.63
  •  skepticism z=+0.98
  •  uncertainty z=-1.27
5. fed_pivot   ⚠️ hope z=+1.54
  •  confidence z=+0.10
  •  euphoria z=+1.10
  •  fear z=+0.52
  •  frustration z=+1.29
  •  greed z=+0.31
  •  hope z=+1.54
  •  optimism z=-0.17
  •  panic z=+0.49
  •  skepticism z=-0.57
  •  uncertainty z=+1.17

What Changed Since Yesterday

geopolitical_risk down: -42%
-6.52 DoD change — now at 59th percentile; breadth 10 subreddits.
  •  confidence z=+0.11
  •  euphoria z=-1.13
  •  fear z=+0.10
  •  frustration z=+0.07
  •  greed z=-0.41
  •  hope z=+0.33
  •  optimism z=-0.29
  •  panic z=+0.35
  •  skepticism z=+1.15
  •  uncertainty z=+0.11
energy_insecurity down: -48%
-4.80 DoD change — now at 64th percentile; breadth 8 subreddits.
  •  confidence z=+0.70
  •  euphoria z=-0.88
  •  fear z=-0.41
  •  frustration z=-0.48
  •  greed z=-1.90
  •  hope z=+0.18
  •  optimism z=-0.14
  •  panic z=+0.04
  •  skepticism z=+1.09
  •  uncertainty z=+0.92
AI_boom down: -68%
-3.29 DoD change — now at 33th percentile; breadth 9 subreddits.
  •  confidence z=+0.31
  •  euphoria z=+2.73
  •  fear z=+0.20
  •  frustration z=-0.37
  •  greed z=-0.02
  •  hope z=+0.36
  •  optimism z=+0.46
  •  panic z=+0.00
  •  skepticism z=-0.16
  •  uncertainty z=+0.07

What Changed Since Last Week

geopolitical_risk: +40% WoW — trend decelerating
+2.62 absolute WoW change over the last 3 days.
  •  confidence z=+1.07
  •  euphoria z=+0.04
  •  fear z=+0.61
  •  frustration z=+1.67
  •  greed z=+1.94
  •  hope z=+0.75
  •  optimism z=+0.60
  •  panic z=+2.62
  •  skepticism z=+2.15
  •  uncertainty z=+0.71
technology_paradigm_shift: -45% WoW — trend decelerating
-1.77 absolute WoW change over the last 3 days.
  •  confidence z=-0.00
  •  euphoria z=-2.23
  •  fear z=+1.22
  •  frustration z=+1.23
  •  greed z=-0.87
  •  hope z=-0.23
  •  optimism z=-0.44
  •  panic z=+2.97
  •  skepticism z=+1.26
  •  uncertainty z=+2.78
AI_boom: -50% WoW — trend decelerating
-1.55 absolute WoW change over the last 3 days.
  •  confidence z=+0.61
  •  euphoria z=+2.11
  •  fear z=-0.99
  •  frustration z=-2.12
  •  greed z=-1.64
  •  hope z=-0.47
  •  optimism z=+0.36
  •  panic z=+1.20
  •  skepticism z=-1.04
  •  uncertainty z=+1.08

Emotion & Positioning Read

Sentiment: fear elevated, skepticism neutral
Fear z-score: +1.34 — Skepticism z-score: +0.92.
Fear most concentrated in interest_rate_insecurity
Average fear score for interest_rate_insecurity: 0.80.
Narrative-weighted fear across top 3 narratives
banking_crisis (0.62), energy_insecurity (0.69).

Novelty / New Information

Novelty: normal
Jensen–Shannon divergence: 0.017 vs 7-day baseline 0.041.

Watchlist

Watch banking_crisis: if it remains above p85 for 3 days and fear stays elevated
Action: financials underweight, flight to quality.
Watch geopolitical_risk: WoW rising (+40%)
If trend continues → defensive tilt / energy hedge bias.
Watch recession / banking_crisis: elevated attention detected
If WoW continues rising and banking_crisis fear > 0.75 → raise quality bias, consider duration hedge.

Data Quality Notes

Percentage changes may be amplified from near-zero baselines
Moves from near-zero base can inflate % change; we prioritize absolute change and percentile ranks.
Data source: Reddit (retail/discussion attention)
Coverage is Reddit-based; interpret as retail/discussion attention, not institutional positioning.
Details (exact values)

Regime components: fear_z=+1.34, regime_score=+1.34

NarrativeTrendAtt. TodayDoDWoWPctile 30dBreadth
geopolitical_risk9.1619-6.5194+2.616859th10
energy_insecurity5.2487-4.7993+1.175864th8
commodities_supercycle3.3096-2.7613+0.705664th8
crypto_adoption2.6839-1.8703-0.539244th6
technology_paradigm_shift2.1974-2.1513-1.765036th10
sector_rotation2.1703-1.9018+0.615656th8
recession2.0272-1.7612+0.039737th10
inflation1.9107-1.6701-0.889841th9
banking_crisis1.5897-0.1261+0.076885th9
AI_boom1.5445-3.2911-1.546633th9

Database Overview

TableRowsColumns
emotion_scores11,149id, post_id, emotion, score
fetch_runs100id, started_at
narrative_gap_analyses44id, analyzed_at, max_age_days, max_score, post_count, common_narrative, narrative_certainty, common_emotion, raw_response
narrative_scores7,561id, post_id, narrative, score
post_rankings23,860id, run_id, post_id, subreddit, rank
posts5,142id, subreddit, title, selftext, url, reddit_score, num_comments, created_utc, retrieved_at, analyzed_at
sqlite_sequence5name, seq

Posts

5,142 total posts  |  3,682 analyzed

By Subreddit

SubredditPosts
r/ValueInvesting810
r/cryptocurrency742
r/wallstreetbets696
r/investing663
r/economics611
r/stocks579
r/StockMarket409
r/options351
r/finance107
r/TrueReddit69
r/SecurityAnalysis69
r/PoliticalDiscussion36

Narrative Scores

Fastest-Growing Narratives (Attention Movers)

Ranked by weighted DoD (40%) + WoW (60%) absolute attention change. Most recent day: 2026-03-24

NarrativeAttention TodayDay-over-DayWeek-over-Week
dollar_strength0.9734-0.2887 (-22.9%)+0.5003 (+105.8%)
fed_pivot0.4495-0.2403 (-34.8%)+0.2953 (+191.4%)
interest_rate_hike0.0353-0.0022 (-5.9%)+0.0020 (+5.9%)
earnings_miss0.0294-0.0018 (-5.9%)+0.0016 (+5.9%)
crypto_regulation0.0000+0.0000 (+0.0%)+0.0000 (+0.0%)
interest_rate_cut0.0000+0.0000 (+0.0%)+0.0000 (+0.0%)
dollar_weakness0.0000+0.0000 (+0.0%)+0.0000 (+0.0%)
banking_crisis1.5897-0.1261 (-7.3%)+0.0768 (+5.1%)
demographic_shift0.2100-0.0852 (-28.9%)-0.0846 (-28.7%)
housing_bubble0.0167-0.1410 (-89.4%)-0.1517 (-90.1%)

Emotion Scores

Emotion per Narrative

Fetch Runs

100 total fetch runs  | Last run: 2026-03-24 11:00 UTC

Additional Tables

narrative_gap_analyses 44 rows

idanalyzed_atmax_age_daysmax_scorepost_countcommon_narrativenarrative_certaintycommon_emotion
11772708617.26657250.5381Retail investors grappling with market volatility, seeking strategies for long-term investing while navigating short-term fears and information overload.0.85anxiety
21772730380.06461450.5377Retail investors seeking undervalued opportunities and strategic edges in a volatile market, with a focus on individual stock analysis, options strategies, and portfolio optimization.0.75anxious
31772751792.982409550.5383Retail traders and investors navigating high volatility, complex options strategies, and a search for undervalued opportunities in a market perceived as overpriced or irrational, while grappling with emotional discipline and information overload.0.75anxious
41772773399.012550850.5387Retail investors seeking actionable strategies and tools for stock picking, options trading, and portfolio management in a volatile market, while grappling with information overload and emotional discipline.0.85anxious
51772794990.778048550.5390Retail investors seeking self-directed, systematic, and tool-assisted approaches to navigate complex markets, often focusing on undervalued opportunities, options strategies, and personal portfolio construction amid volatility.0.85anxious determination

sqlite_sequence 5 rows

nameseq
emotion_scores11149
narrative_scores7561
fetch_runs100
post_rankings23860
narrative_gap_analyses44