Morning Note
Morning Note — 2026-03-22 (built 23:15 UTC), 267 posts today across 10 subreddits.
Regime: mixed — led by sector_rotation, while technology_paradigm_shift continues to cool.
What Changed Since Yesterday
- energy_insecurity up: +1.02 DoD (+16%), now at 83th percentile; breadth 8 subs.
- inflation down: -0.85 DoD (-20%), now at 68th percentile; breadth 9 subs.
- ⚠️ optimism rising fast (z=+1.71)
- geopolitical_risk up: +0.83 DoD (+9%), now at 72th percentile; breadth 10 subs.
- ⚠️ skepticism falling fast (z=-2.31)
What Changed Since Last Week
- geopolitical_risk: +9.27 WoW (+688%); trend decelerating over last 3 days.
- ⚠️ skepticism falling fast (z=-2.69)
- ⚠️ panic rising fast (z=+2.37)
- ⚠️ confidence rising fast (z=+1.88)
- energy_insecurity: +6.66 WoW (+851%); trend decelerating over last 3 days.
- ⚠️ fear falling fast (z=-1.73)
- ⚠️ skepticism falling fast (z=-1.64)
- AI_boom: +4.36 WoW (+839%); trend decelerating over last 3 days.
- ⚠️ euphoria falling fast (z=-2.51)
- ⚠️ hope falling fast (z=-2.03)
- ⚠️ optimism falling fast (z=-1.80)
Today’s Leaders
Top narratives by attention (30d percentile): 1) sector_rotation (p100) 2) defense_rearmament (p100) 3) energy_insecurity (p83) 4) commodities_supercycle (p83) 5) crypto_adoption (p80)
Emotion & Positioning Read
- Sentiment: fear neutral (z=+0.04), skepticism subdued (z=-0.83).
- Fear is most concentrated in fed_pivot (avg fear 0.90).
- Narrative-weighted fear (top 3): sector_rotation (0.52), defense_rearmament (0.71), energy_insecurity (0.71).
Novelty / New Information
- Novelty: normal (JS=0.013 vs 7d baseline 0.058).
Watchlist
- Watch sector_rotation: if it remains above p90 for 3 days → factor rotation, defensive vs cyclical.
- Watch geopolitical_risk: WoW rising (+688%); if trend continues → defensive tilt / energy hedge bias.
- Watch recession / banking_crisis: if WoW continues rising + banking_crisis fear > 0.75 → raise quality bias, consider duration hedge.
Data Quality Notes
- Moves from near-zero base can inflate % change; we prioritize absolute change and percentile ranks.
- Coverage is Reddit-based; interpret as retail/discussion attention, not institutional positioning.
Details (exact values)
Regime components: fear_z=+0.04, regime_score=+0.28
| Narrative | Trend | Att. Today | DoD | WoW | Pctile 30d | Breadth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| geopolitical_risk | 10.6173 | +0.8339 | +9.2691 | 72th | 10 | |
| energy_insecurity | 7.4460 | +1.0222 | +6.6627 | 83th | 8 | |
| AI_boom | 4.8802 | +0.6054 | +4.3602 | 76th | 9 | |
| technology_paradigm_shift | 4.4496 | -0.4083 | +3.8330 | 67th | 10 | |
| commodities_supercycle | 4.1664 | +0.7995 | +3.8354 | 83th | 8 | |
| sector_rotation | 3.7951 | +0.1790 | +3.5613 | 100th | 9 | |
| inflation | 3.3129 | -0.8538 | +2.9172 | 68th | 9 | |
| crypto_adoption | 3.2790 | +0.1262 | +3.2427 | 80th | 5 | |
| recession | 2.9987 | -0.3821 | +2.4915 | 52th | 9 | |
| defense_rearmament | 1.9061 | +0.3967 | +1.4961 | 100th | 7 |
Database Overview
| Table | Rows | Columns |
|---|---|---|
emotion_scores | 10,309 | id, post_id, emotion, score |
fetch_runs | 94 | id, started_at |
narrative_gap_analyses | 38 | id, analyzed_at, max_age_days, max_score, post_count, common_narrative, narrative_certainty, common_emotion, raw_response |
narrative_scores | 6,951 | id, post_id, narrative, score |
post_rankings | 22,420 | id, run_id, post_id, subreddit, rank |
posts | 4,875 | id, subreddit, title, selftext, url, reddit_score, num_comments, created_utc, retrieved_at, analyzed_at |
sqlite_sequence | 5 | name, seq |
Posts
4,875 total posts | 3,415 analyzed
By Subreddit
| Subreddit | Posts |
|---|---|
| r/ValueInvesting | 779 |
| r/cryptocurrency | 697 |
| r/wallstreetbets | 664 |
| r/investing | 630 |
| r/economics | 584 |
| r/stocks | 549 |
| r/StockMarket | 390 |
| r/options | 329 |
| r/finance | 99 |
| r/SecurityAnalysis | 67 |
| r/TrueReddit | 53 |
| r/PoliticalDiscussion | 34 |
Narrative Scores
Fastest-Growing Narratives (Attention Movers)
Ranked by weighted DoD (40%) + WoW (60%) absolute attention change. Most recent day: 2026-03-22
| Narrative | Attention Today | Day-over-Day | Week-over-Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| geopolitical_risk | 10.6173 | +0.8339 (+8.5%) | +9.2691 (+687.5%) |
| energy_insecurity | 7.4460 | +1.0222 (+15.9%) | +6.6627 (+850.6%) |
| AI_boom | 4.8802 | +0.6054 (+14.2%) | +4.3602 (+838.5%) |
| commodities_supercycle | 4.1664 | +0.7995 (+23.7%) | +3.8354 (+1158.9%) |
| sector_rotation | 3.7951 | +0.1790 (+4.9%) | +3.5613 (+1523.1%) |
| technology_paradigm_shift | 4.4496 | -0.4083 (-8.4%) | +3.8330 (+621.6%) |
| crypto_adoption | 3.2790 | +0.1262 (+4.0%) | +3.2427 (+8917.3%) |
| inflation | 3.3129 | -0.8538 (-20.5%) | +2.9172 (+737.2%) |
| recession | 2.9987 | -0.3821 (-11.3%) | +2.4915 (+491.2%) |
| defense_rearmament | 1.9061 | +0.3967 (+26.3%) | +1.4961 (+364.9%) |
Emotion Scores
Emotion per Narrative
Fetch Runs
94 total fetch runs | Last run: 2026-03-22 23:00 UTC
Additional Tables
narrative_gap_analyses 38 rows
| id | analyzed_at | max_age_days | max_score | post_count | common_narrative | narrative_certainty | common_emotion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1772708617.266572 | 5 | 0.5 | 381 | Retail investors grappling with market volatility, seeking strategies for long-term investing while navigating short-term fears and information overload. | 0.85 | anxiety |
| 2 | 1772730380.064614 | 5 | 0.5 | 377 | Retail investors seeking undervalued opportunities and strategic edges in a volatile market, with a focus on individual stock analysis, options strategies, and portfolio optimization. | 0.75 | anxious |
| 3 | 1772751792.9824095 | 5 | 0.5 | 383 | Retail traders and investors navigating high volatility, complex options strategies, and a search for undervalued opportunities in a market perceived as overpriced or irrational, while grappling with emotional discipline and information overload. | 0.75 | anxious |
| 4 | 1772773399.0125508 | 5 | 0.5 | 387 | Retail investors seeking actionable strategies and tools for stock picking, options trading, and portfolio management in a volatile market, while grappling with information overload and emotional discipline. | 0.85 | anxious |
| 5 | 1772794990.7780485 | 5 | 0.5 | 390 | Retail investors seeking self-directed, systematic, and tool-assisted approaches to navigate complex markets, often focusing on undervalued opportunities, options strategies, and personal portfolio construction amid volatility. | 0.85 | anxious determination |
sqlite_sequence 5 rows
| name | seq |
|---|---|
| emotion_scores | 10309 |
| narrative_scores | 6951 |
| fetch_runs | 94 |
| post_rankings | 22420 |
| narrative_gap_analyses | 38 |